Monday, February 16, 2004
Hawk: How's the Weather?
An interesting article by The Economist talks about the benefits and dangers of Bush's declaration (in his Meet the Press interview) as being a war president.
While I may be a partisan, putting that aside I think that Bush will win a close election on the merits of his war record, with an impoving economy proving to be a non-issue in an election of pesonal attacks on war records and foreign policy statments.
the most striking characteristic of any war reputation is fragility. Between now and election day, America is due to hand over power in Iraq. This could go well, enhancing the president’s standing. Or it could precipitate chaos. There could be another terrorist strike (this has just happened in Russia, five weeks before that country’s presidential election). Or perhaps Osama bin Laden could be captured. War leaders, above all others, are hostages to the uncertainties of conflict. That will be true of Mr Bush, too. His decision to go to the country as a warrior-president is a big gamble.
While I may be a partisan, putting that aside I think that Bush will win a close election on the merits of his war record, with an impoving economy proving to be a non-issue in an election of pesonal attacks on war records and foreign policy statments.
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