Tuesday, March 09, 2004
New Poll
Aside from the fact that a new poll written up on the WaPo does not state that it is of likely voters, but simply a national random sampling of adults, which does not give the poll much value other than as a way to sell papers (it was the lead story on the website this morning, so I presume it has a prominent place in the print edition as well), this question struck me:
The top three responses are US campaign against terror (17%), the war in Iraq (10%) [which is interestingly not much above several seven and eight percents for other issues such as education and social security], and the economy and jobs (36%). Why do people vote for president with their pocketbooks? The President really has little control over how the economy is performing, and how it performs in the future. It seems that this strange historical trend to vote out of the wallet is continuing.
However, for GWB, this should be good, because the economy is in good shape and improving; eventually the word will get out that the bulls are back and he will win in November with a healthy margin.
Now, of the following list, which one will be the SINGLE most important issue in your vote for president this year: The U.S. campaign against terrorism, the war in Iraq, the economy and jobs, education, health care, Medicare and prescription drugs, Social Security, or something else?
The top three responses are US campaign against terror (17%), the war in Iraq (10%) [which is interestingly not much above several seven and eight percents for other issues such as education and social security], and the economy and jobs (36%). Why do people vote for president with their pocketbooks? The President really has little control over how the economy is performing, and how it performs in the future. It seems that this strange historical trend to vote out of the wallet is continuing.
However, for GWB, this should be good, because the economy is in good shape and improving; eventually the word will get out that the bulls are back and he will win in November with a healthy margin.
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